Effects of diurnal temperature range on diarrhea in the subtropical megacity of Dhaka, Bangladesh - 27/03/24

Doi : 10.1016/j.joclim.2024.100305 
Farhana Haque a, b, , Fiona Lampe a, Shakoor Hajat c, Katerina Stavrianaki d, S.M.Tafsir Hasan e, ASG Faruque e, Shamim Jubayer f, Ilan Kelman g, h, Tahmeed Ahmed e
a Institute for Global Health (IGH), University College London (UCL), London, United Kingdom 
b UK Public Health Rapid Support Team (UK-PHRST), Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), London, United Kingdom 
c Department of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), London, United Kingdom 
d Department of Statistical Science, Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction (IRDR), University College London (UCL), London, United Kingdom 
e Nutrition and Clinical Services Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Diseases Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh 
f National Heart Foundation Hospital and Research Institute (NHF&RI), Dhaka, Bangladesh 
g Institute for Global Health (IGH) and Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction (IRDR), University College London (UCL), London, United Kingdom 
h University of Agder, Kristiansand, Norway 

Corresponding author at: London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), Room 118, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT.London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM)Room 118, Keppel StreetLondonWC1E 7HT

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Abstract

Introduction

While numerous studies have assessed the association of diarrhea with temperature, few have addressed the relationship between within-day variation of temperature and diarrhea.

Materials and methods

We investigated the association between diurnal temperature range (DTR) and daily counts of hospitalizations for all-cause diarrhea in Dhaka, Bangladesh using time series regression analysis employing distributed lag-linear models. Defining DTRs below 10th, 5th and 1st percentiles as low, very low and extremely low DTR, and DTRs above 90th, 95th and 99th percentiles as high, very high and extremely high DTRs, we additionally analyzed the effects of extreme DTR on diarrhea hospitalization. Effects were assessed for all ages, under-5 children and by gender.

Results

Although we did not find any significant effects of overall DTR and large DTRs, we detected significant effects of small DTRs on diarrhea hospitalization in all subgroups. A unit rise in low, very low and extremely low DTR was associated with a 4.9 % (95 % CI: 3.6 – 6.2), 7.1 % (95 % CI: 5.4 – 8.9) and 11.8 % (95 % CI: 8.3 – 15.5) increase in all-cause diarrhea hospitalization in all ages, respectively. A unit increase in low, very low and extremely low DTR was associated with a 4.9 %, 5.1 % and 18.4 % increase in all-cause diarrhea hospitalization in children under 5 years of age, respectively. The impact of extremely low DTR varied by gender (16.2 % in females versus 10.1 % in males). The effect of extremely low DTR was most pronounced in children under 5 years of age.

Conclusion

Less variation in within-day temperatures is a risk factor for diarrhea hospitalization in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Further research is needed to elucidate the causal pathways and identify the preventive measures necessary to mitigate the impacts of lowering DTRs on diarrhea.

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Keywords : Diurnal temperature range, DTR, Diarrhea, Diarrheal diseases, Dhaka, Bangladesh


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Vol 17

Article 100305- mai 2024 Retour au numéro
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