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Postoperative elevated cardiac troponin levels predict all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events following noncardiac surgery: A dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies - 09/09/23

Doi : 10.1016/j.jclinane.2023.111229 
Lijing Yang, MD, PhD b, Sheng Shi, MD, PhD b, Jun Li, MD, PhD b, Zhongrong Fang, MD, PhD b, Jingfei Guo, MD, PhD b, Wenying Kang, MD, PhD b, Jia Shi, MD, PhD b, Su Yuan, MD, PhD b, Fuxia Yan, MD, PhD b, Chenghui Zhou, MD, PhD a, b,
a Center for Anesthesiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100029, China 
b Department of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China 

Corresponding author at: Center for Anesthesiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University,No.2 Anzhen Road.,Chaoyang District, Beijing 100029, China; Department of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, No. 167 Beilishi Road., Xicheng District, Beijing 100037, China.Center for Anesthesiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University,No.2 Anzhen Road.,Chaoyang District, Beijing 100029, ChinaDepartment of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai HospitalNational Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical CollegeNo. 167 Beilishi Road., Xicheng DistrictBeijing100037China

Abstract

Study objective

To perform a dose-response meta-analysis for the association between postoperative myocardial injury (PMI) in noncardiac surgery and the risk of all-cause mortality or major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE).

Design

Dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies with weighted (WL) or generalized (GL) linear and restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression.

Setting

Teaching hospitals.

Patients

Adult patients undergoing noncardiac surgery.

Interventions

No.

Measurements

The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. The secondary outcome was MACE.

Main results

29 studies (53,518 patients) were included. The overall incidence of PMI was 26.0% (95% CI 21.0% to 32.0%). Compared to those without PMI, patients with PMI had an increased risk of all-cause mortality at short- (<12 months) (cardiac troponin[cTn]I: unadj OR 1.71,95%CI 1.22 to 2.41, P < 0.001; cTnT: unadj OR 2.33,95%CI 2.07 to 2.63, P < 0.001), and long-term (≥ 12 months) (cTnI: unadj OR 1.80, 95%CI 1.63 to 1.99; cTnT: unadj OR 1.47,95%CI 1.33 to 1.62) (All P < 0.001) follow-up. For MACE, the group with elevated values was associated with an increased risk (cTnI: unadj OR 1.98, 95% CI 1.13 to 3.47, P = 0.018; cTnT: unadj OR 2.29, 95% CI 1.88 to 2.79, P < 0.001). Dose-response analysis showed positive associations between PMI (per 1× upper reference limit[URL] increment) and all-cause mortality both at short- (unadj OR) (WL, OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.10; GL, OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.07; RCS in the range of 1–2× URL, OR = 2.43, 95%CI 2.25 to 2.62) and long-term follow-up (unadj HR) (WL, OR 1.16, 95% CI 1.14 to 1.17; GL, OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.16; RCS in the range of 1–2.75× URL, OR = 1.23, 95%CI 1.13 to 1.33), and MACE at longest follow-up (unadj OR) (WL: OR 1.53, 95% CI 1.49 to 1.57; GL: OR 1.46, 95% CI 1.42 to 1.50; RCS in the range of 1–2 x URL, OR = 3.10, 95%CI 2.51 to 3.81) (All P < 0.001). For mild cTn increase below URL, the risk of mortality increased with every increment of 0.25xURL (WL, OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.03; GL, OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.07; RCS in the range of 0–0.5 URL, OR = 9.41, 95% CI 7.41 to 11.95) (All P < 0.001).

Conclusions

This study shows positive WL or GL and RCS dose-response relationships between PMI and all-cause mortality at short (< 12 mons)- and long-term (≥ 12 mons) follow-up, and MACE at longest follow-up. For mild cTn increase below URL, the risk of mortality also increases even with every increment of 0.25× URL.

Le texte complet de cet article est disponible en PDF.

Highlights

PMI is a common complication associated with substantial mortality and morbidity.
Patients with PMI had an increased mortality risk compared to those without PMI.
Positive dose-response relationship between PMI and all-cause mortality was found.
Positive dose-response relationship between PMI and MACE was found.
Positive dose-response relationship was found for mild cTn increase below URL.

Le texte complet de cet article est disponible en PDF.

Keywords : All-cause mortality, Cardiac troponin, Major adverse cardiovascular events, meta-analysis, Myocardial injury, Noncardiac surgery


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Vol 90

Article 111229- novembre 2023 Retour au numéro
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