To examine the time to glaucoma progression detection by retinal nerve fiber layer thickness (RNFLT) and visual field (VF) among individuals of African descent (AD).

Retrospective cohort study.

This multicenter study included eyes with glaucoma from individuals of AD from the Diagnostic Innovations in Glaucoma Study and the African Descent and Glaucoma Evaluation Study with ≥2 years/5 visits of optic nerve head RNFLT and 24-2 VF examinations.

Rates of VF mean deviation (MD) and RNFLT worsening were analyzed using linear mixed-effects models, and longitudinal data were simulated using the variability estimates.

The simulated time to detect trend-based glaucoma progression was assessed with assumed rates of VF MD and RNFLT change derived from the cohort (25th, 50th, and 75th percentile [as p25, median, and p75] slopes and mean slopes). Severity-stratified analyses were also performed.

We included 184 eyes from 128 subjects of AD (mean baseline age 63.4 years; VF MD -4.2 dB; RNFLT 80.2 µm). The p25, median, mean, and p75 rates of change were -0.43, -1.01, -1.15, and -1.64 µm per year for RNFLT, and 0.00, -0.21, -0.30, and -0.51 dB per year for VF MD, respectively. Compared with VF MD, RNFLT showed an overall shorter mean time to progression detection (time difference 0.4-1.7 years), with the mean rates showing the largest difference (RNFLT 5.2 years vs VF MD 6.9 years). Similarly, we found an overall shorter time to detect RNFLT progression, compared with that of VF MD progression, in eyes with mild glaucoma (≥1 year earlier) and in eyes with moderate to advanced glaucoma (∼0.5 year earlier).

Computer simulation showed a potentially shorter time to detect RNFLT progression than VF MD progression in eyes from individuals of AD. Our findings support the importance of using RNFLT to detect progressive glaucoma in individuals of AD.