Prior Decompensation Shapes the Clinical Phenotype and the Prognostic Performance of Biochemical Liver-Failure Criteria in Hospitalised Cirrhosis patients: A Multicentre Study - 16/10/26


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Highlights |
• | Liver failure is common in index and prior decompensation. |
• | Alcohol is a common etiology in those with index acute decompensation while MASLD is more common in prior decompensation. |
• | APASL, CLEARED and EASL-CLIF definitions of liver failure predict mortality in prior decompensated patients. |
• | Patients with prior decompensation had higher 30-day mortality than those presenting with first recognized decompensation of cirrhosis and is majorily caused by infections. |
Abstract |
Background and aims |
Index and recurrent decompensation have different impacts on the course of acute decompensation (AD). Contemporary biochemical liver failure definitions for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) do not distinguish between index and prior decompensation. We evaluated whether prior decompensation defines a clinically distinct phenotype and examined whether established biochemical liver failure criteria retain consistent prognostic performance across these phenotypes
Methods |
This multicentre study evaluated 966 adults hospitalized with AD across four centres in India, stratified into first-presentation (n = 364) and prior-decompensation (n = 602) cohorts. Biochemical thresholds from APASL (bilirubin ≥5 mg/dL and INR ≥1.5), CLEARED (≥7.5 mg/dL and INR≥1.5), and EASL-CLIF (bilirubin ≥12 mg/dL) were evaluated against 30-day mortality.
Results |
Patients with prior decompensation were older, more often had MASLD-related cirrhosis (21.3% vs 10.7%), and showed greater extra-hepatic organ failures. Thirty-day mortality was higher in patients with prior decompensation independent of MELD and baseline infection (40.5% vs 30.5%; adjusted RR 1.31, 95% CI 1.10–1.56, p=0.003), largely attributable to hepatic encephalopathy, which was twice as common (60% vs 29%). In the overall cohort, APASL and CLEARED modestly predicted mortality (OR 1.36 and 1.41, respectively), whereas EASL-CLIF threshold did not. In decompensation phenotype-stratified analysis, prognostic performance varied; biochemical thresholds were associated with 30-day mortality only among prior decompensation (APASL: OR 1.57; CLEARED: OR 1.67; CLIF-C: OR 1.71), but not in the first-presentation phenotype. The bilirubin-only CLIF-C OF liver-failure component captured the fewest deaths and showed significant phenotype-dependent prognostic behaviour.
Conclusion |
Prior decompensation defines a clinically distinct, high-risk phenotype mediated by encephalopathy. Liver-failure criteria perform discordantly across phenotypes with different prognostic signals in first and prior decompensations.
Le texte complet de cet article est disponible en PDF.Graphical abstract |
Keywords : None
Plan
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