Diagnostic Performance of Artificial Intelligence for Detecting Intracranial Hemorrhage on Brain CT: A Bayesian Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis - 07/11/26

, Gédéon Mbala Mbuyamba 2
, Stéphane Yanda Tongo 3
, Pius Kabututu Zakayi 4 
, Pierre Kafunda Katalay 2 
, Antoine Aundu Molua 1 

Abstract |
Background |
Intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) requires rapid and accurate diagnosis. Artificial intelligence (AI) may support ICH detection on brain CT, particularly where radiological expertise is limited.
Objective |
To assess the diagnostic performance of AI for ICH detection on brain CT and identify factors associated with performance variability.
Methods |
Following PRISMA-DTA recommendations, diagnostic accuracy studies providing sufficient data to construct 2×2 tables were systematically identified. Independent validation cohorts were the primary analytical units, with overlapping datasets excluded from primary pooling (Forty-six studies). Sensitivity and specificity were jointly estimated using a Bayesian bivariate random-effects model. Bayesian subgroup and meta-regression analyses examined validation setting, reference standard, model purpose, and target condition.
Results |
The Bayesian bivariate random-effects model yielded a pooled sensitivity of 91.3% (95% CrI, 89.0–93.3%) and specificity of 95.4% (95% CrI, 93.7–96.6%). The positive and negative likelihood ratios were 19.69 (95% CrI, 14.41–26.99) and 0.091 (95% CrI, 0.070–0.116), respectively, with a diagnostic odds ratio of 216.7 (95% CrI, 131.8–354.3). The sensitivity analysis restricted to eight low-risk-of-bias studies yielded sensitivity of 90.3% (95% CrI, 81.2–95.2%) and specificity of 93.4% (95% CrI, 86.7–96.4%). In separate meta-regression models, expert-based reference standards were associated with higher sensitivity (β = 0.713; 95% CrI, 0.173–1.249; posterior probability, 99.5%), and clinical/real-world validation with higher specificity (β = 0.602; 95% CrI, 0.001–1.175; posterior probability, 97.5%).
Conclusion |
AI showed high diagnostic accuracy for intracranial hemorrhage detection on brain CT, but low-certainty evidence and heterogeneity limit generalizability. Prospective, external, multicenter validation should assess clinical outcomes and workflow impact, including in resource-limited settings.
Le texte complet de cet article est disponible en PDF.Keywords : Artificial intelligence, Deep learning, Intracranial hemorrhage, Computed tomography, Diagnostic accuracy, Bayesian meta-analysis, Resource-limited settings
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