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Micronized vaginal progesterone to prevent miscarriage: a critical evaluation of randomized evidence - 28/07/20

Doi : 10.1016/j.ajog.2019.12.006 
Arri Coomarasamy, MD, MRCOG a, , Adam J. Devall, PhD a, Jan J. Brosens, PhD b, Siobhan Quenby, MD, FRCOG b, Mary D. Stephenson, MD c, Sony Sierra, MD d, Ole B. Christiansen, MD e, Rachel Small, BSc f, Jane Brewin, BSc g, Tracy E. Roberts, PhD h, Rima Dhillon-Smith, PhD, MRCOG a, Hoda Harb, PhD a, Hannah Noordali, PhD a, Argyro Papadopoulou, BSc a, Abey Eapen, PhD, MBBS i, Matt Prior, MRCOG j, Gian Carlo Di Renzo, MD k, Kim Hinshaw, MBBS, FRCOG l, Ben W. Mol, MD, PhD m, Mary Ann Lumsden, MD, FRCOG n, Yacoub Khalaf, MD, FRCOG o, Andrew Shennan, MD, FRCOG o, Mariette Goddijn, MD, PhD p, Madelon van Wely, PhD p, Maya Al-Memar, PhD, MRCOG q, Phil Bennett, PhD, FRCOG q, Tom Bourne, PhD, FRCOG q, Raj Rai, MD, MRCOG q, Lesley Regan, MD, FRCOG q, Ioannis D. Gallos, MD, MRCOG a
a Tommy’s National Centre for Miscarriage Research, Institute of Metabolism and Systems Research, College of Medical and Dental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, United Kingdom 
b Tommy’s National Centre for Miscarriage Research, Biomedical Research Unit in Reproductive Health, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom 
c Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Illinois College of Medicine at Chicago, Chicago, IL 
d Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Toronto, Ontario, Canada and TRIO Fertility, Toronto Ontario, Canada 
e Centre for Recurrent Pregnancy Loss of Western Denmark, Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark 
f Birmingham Heartlands Hospital, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Bordesley Green East, Birmingham, United Kingdom 
g Tommy’s Charity, Laurence Pountney Hill, London, United Kingdom 
h Institute of Applied Health Research, College of Medical and Dental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham, United Kingdom 
i Carver College of Medicine, University of Iowa Health Care, Iowa City, IA 
j Newcastle Fertility Centre at Life, The Newcastle Upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Times Square, Newcastle Upon Tyne, United Kingdom 
k Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Centre of Perinatal and Reproductive Medicine, University of Perugia, Italy and IE Sechenov First State University, Moscow, Russia 
l Sunderland Royal Hospital, City Hospitals Sunderland NHS Foundation Trust, Sunderland, United Kingdom 
m Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Monash University, Clayton Victoria, Australia 
n Academic Unit of Reproductive & Maternal Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom 
o Department of Women and Children’s Health, School of Life Course Sciences, Kings College, London, United Kingdom 
p Academic Medical Centre, University of Amsterdam, Netherlands 
q Tommy’s National Centre for Miscarriage Research, Imperial College London, South Kensington, London, United Kingdom 

Corresponding author: Arri Coomarasamy, MD, MRCOG.

Abstract

Progesterone is essential for the maintenance of pregnancy. Several small trials have suggested that progesterone supplementation may reduce the risk of miscarriage in women with recurrent or threatened miscarriage. Cochrane Reviews summarized the evidence and found that the trials were small with substantial methodologic weaknesses. Since then, the effects of first-trimester use of vaginal micronized progesterone have been evaluated in 2 large, high-quality, multicenter placebo-controlled trials, one targeting women with unexplained recurrent miscarriages (the PROMISE [PROgesterone in recurrent MIScarriagE] trial) and the other targeting women with early pregnancy bleeding (the PRISM [PRogesterone In Spontaneous Miscarriage] trial). The PROMISE trial studied 836 women from 45 hospitals in the United Kingdom and the Netherlands and found a 3% greater live birth rate with progesterone but with substantial statistical uncertainty. The PRISM trial studied 4153 women from 48 hospitals in the United Kingdom and found a 3% greater live birth rate with progesterone, but with a P value of .08. A key finding, first observed in the PROMISE trial, and then replicated in the PRISM trial, was that treatment with vaginal micronized progesterone 400 mg twice daily was associated with increasing live birth rates according to the number of previous miscarriages. Prespecified PRISM trial subgroup analysis in women with the dual risk factors of previous miscarriage(s) and current pregnancy bleeding fulfilled all 11 conditions for credible subgroup analysis. For the subgroup of women with a history of 1 or more miscarriage(s) and current pregnancy bleeding, the live birth rate was 75% (689/914) with progesterone vs 70% (619/886) with placebo (rate difference 5%; risk ratio, 1.09, 95% confidence interval, 1.03–1.15; P=.003). The benefit was greater for the subgroup of women with 3 or more previous miscarriages and current pregnancy bleeding; live birth rate was 72% (98/137) with progesterone vs 57% (85/148) with placebo (rate difference 15%; risk ratio, 1.28, 95% confidence interval, 1.08–1.51; P=.004). No short-term safety concerns were identified from the PROMISE and PRISM trials. Therefore, women with a history of miscarriage who present with bleeding in early pregnancy may benefit from the use of vaginal micronized progesterone 400 mg twice daily. Women and their care providers should use the findings for shared decision-making.

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Key words : bleeding, luteal phase deficiency, meta-analysis, recurrent miscarriage, threatened miscarriage, vaginal micronized progesterone


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 The authors report no conflict of interest.
 Cite this article as: Coomarasamy A, Devall AJ, Brosens JJ, et al. Micronized vaginal progesterone to prevent miscarriage: a critical evaluation of randomized evidence. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2020.


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Vol 223 - N° 2

P. 167-176 - août 2020 Retour au numéro
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