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Hormone replacement therapy and asthma onset in menopausal women: National cohort study - 05/05/21

Doi : 10.1016/j.jaci.2020.11.024 
Syed A. Shah, DPhil a, , Holly Tibble, MSc a, Rebecca Pillinger, PhD a, Susannah McLean, MD a, Dermot Ryan, MD a, b, Hilary Critchley, MD c, David Price, MD b, d, e, Catherine M. Hawrylowicz, PhD f, Colin R. Simpson, PhD a, g, Ireneous N. Soyiri, PhD a, h, Francis Appiagyei, MSc b, Aziz Sheikh, MD a, Bright I. Nwaru, PhD a, i, j
a Asthma UK Centre for Applied Research, Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom 
b Optimum Patient Care, Cambridge, United Kingdom 
c Medical Research Council Centre for Reproductive Health, Queen’s Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom 
d Academic Primary Care, Division of Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom 
e Observational and Pragmatic Research Institute, Singapore 
f Asthma UK Centre in Allergic Mechanisms of Asthma, School of Immunology and Microbial Sciences, Guys Hospital, Kings College London, London, United Kingdom 
g School of Health, Wellington Faculty of Health, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand 
h Hull York Medical School, Institute for Clinical and Applied Health Research, University of Hull, Hull, United Kingdom 
i Krefting Research Centre, Institute of Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden 
j Wallenberg Centre for Molecular and Translational Medicine, Institute of Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden 

Corresponding author: Syed Ahmar Shah, DPhil, Asthma UK Centre for Applied Research, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, 9, Bioquarter, Little France Road, Edinburgh EH16 4UX.Asthma UK Centre for Applied ResearchUsher InstituteThe University of Edinburgh9, BioquarterLittle France RoadEdinburghEH16 4UX

Abstract

Background

There is uncertainty about the role of hormonal replacement therapy (HRT) in the development of asthma.

Objective

We investigated whether use of HRT and duration of use was associated with risk of development of asthma in perimenopausal and postmenopausal women.

Methods

We constructed a 17-year (from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2016) open cohort of 353,173 women (aged 46-70 years) from the Optimum Patient Care Database, a longitudinal primary care database from across the United Kingdom. HRT use, subtypes, and duration of use; confounding variables; and asthma onset were defined by using the Read Clinical Classification System. We fitted multilevel Cox regression models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs.

Results

During the 17-year follow-up (1,340,423 person years), 7,614 new asthma cases occurred, giving an incidence rate of 5.7 (95% CI = 5.5-5.8) per 1,000 person years. Compared with nonuse of HRT, previous use of any (HR = 0.83; 95% CI = 0.76-0.88), estrogen-only (HR = 0.89; 95% CI = 0.84-0.95), or combined estrogen and progestogen (HR = 0.82; 95% CI = 0.76-0.88) HRT was associated with a reduced risk of asthma onset. This was also the case with current use of any (HR = 0.79; 95% CI = 0.74-0.85), estrogen-only (HR = 0.80; 95% CI = 0.73-0.87), and combined estrogen and progestogen (HR = 0.78; 95% CI = 0.70-0.87) HRT. Longer duration of HRT use (1-2 years [HR = 0.93; 95% CI = 0.87-0.99]; 3-4 years [HR = 0.77; 95% CI = 0.70-0.84]; and ≥5 years [HR = 0.71; 95% CI = 0.64-0.78]) was associated with a dose-response reduced risk of asthma onset.

Conclusion

We found that HRT was associated with a reduced risk of development of late onset asthma in menopausal women. Further cohort studies are needed to confirm these findings.

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Key words : Asthma, estrogens, epidemiology, estradiol, progestogen

Abbreviations used : BMI, ER, GP, HRT, IMD, OPCRD, QOF


Plan


 Supported by Asthma UK (grant AUK-IG-2016-346) and Health Data Research UK. B.N. acknowledges support of the Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation; the Wallenberg Centre for Molecular and Translational Medicine, OPC, OPRI, University of Gothenburg, Sweden; and the VBG Group Herman Krefting Foundation on Asthma and Allergy. The funders (Asthma UK and Health Data Research UK) had no influence on the design of the study, the interpretation of its findings, or the decision to publish.
 Disclosure of potential conflict of interest: The authors declare that they have no relevant conflicts of interest.


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P. 1662-1670 - mai 2021 Retour au numéro
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