Aggregate Clinical and Biomarker-Based Model Predicts Adverse Outcomes in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease - 25/08/23

Résumé |
Despite guideline-based therapy, patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) are at widely variable risk for cardiovascular events. This variability demands a more individualized risk assessment. Herein, we evaluate the prognostic value of 6 biomarkers: high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, heat shock protein-70, fibrin degradation products, soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor, high-sensitivity troponin I, and B-type natriuretic peptide. We then develop a multi-biomarker-based cardiovascular event prediction model for patients with stable CAD. In total, 3,115 subjects with stable CAD who underwent cardiac catheterization at Emory (mean age 62.8 years, 17% Black, 35% female, 57% obstructive CAD, 31% diabetes mellitus) were randomized into a training cohort to identify biomarker cutoff values and a validation cohort for prediction assessment. Main outcomes included (1) all-cause death and (2) a composite of cardiovascular death and nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) within 5 years. Elevation of each biomarker level was associated with higher event rates in the training cohort. A biomarker risk score was created using optimal cutoffs, ranging from 0 to 6 for each biomarker exceeding its cutoff. In the validation cohort, each unit increase in the biomarker risk score was independently associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio 1.62, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.45 to 1.80) and cardiovascular death/MI (hazard ratio 1.52, 95% CI 1.35 to 1.71). A biomarker risk prediction model for cardiovascular death/MI improved the c-statistic (∆ 6.4%, 95% CI 3.9 to 8.8) and net reclassification index by 31.1% (95% CI 24 to 37), compared with clinical risk factors alone. Integrating multiple biomarkers with clinical variables refines cardiovascular risk assessment in patients with CAD.
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| This work was supported partially by Abbott Laboratories, North Chicago, Illinois. Dr. Quyyumi is supported by National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, grants 4R61HL138657-04, U54AG062334-01, 1P30DK111024-03S1, 15SFCRN23910003, 5P01HL086773-09, 1R01HL141205-01, 5P01HL101398-05, 1P20HL113451-04, 3RF1AG051633-01S2, and American Heart Association, Chicago, Illinois, grant 15SFCRN23910003. Drs. Dhindsa, Sandesara, Mehta, and Tahhan have been supported by the Abraham J. & Phyllis Katz Foundation, Atlanta, Georgia. Dr. Mehta is supported by American Heart Association grant 19POST34400057. Dr. Desai has been supported by T32 HL130025. |
Vol 203
P. 315-324 - septembre 2023 Retour au numéroBienvenue sur EM-consulte, la référence des professionnels de santé.
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