Vulvar squamous cell carcinoma (vSCC) is a rare tumor with a good prognosis when treated at a localized stage. However, once regional/distant metastasis occurs, vSCC can be rapidly fatal. Thus, it is important to identify tumor prognostic features so that high-risk cases can be prioritized for further diagnostic workup and treatment.

To estimate the risk of regional/distant metastasis at presentation and sentinel lymph node status for vSCC based on histopathologic characteristics.

A retrospective cohort study of 15,188 adult vSCC cases from the National Cancer Database diagnosed from 2012 to 2019.

We provide specific estimates of the risk of clinically positive nodes and metastatic disease at presentation and sentinel lymph node positivity according to tumor size, moderate/poor tumor differentiation, and lymph-vascular invasion. These histopathologic factors were all significantly associated with the tested clinical outcomes in a multivariable analysis. Moderate (hazard ratio, 1.190; P < .001) and poor differentiation (hazard ratio, 1.204; P < .001) and lymph-vascular invasion (hazard ratio, 1.465; P < .001) were also associated with significantly poorer overall survival.

Data on disease-specific survival not available in the data set.

We demonstrate the association of the histopathologic characteristics of vSCC with clinically important outcomes. These data may provide individualized information when discussing diagnostic/treatment recommendations, particularly regarding sentinel lymph node biopsy. These data may also guide future staging and risk stratification efforts for vSCC.