The study aimed to explore risk stratification approaches for cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy (CAN) in individuals with prediabetes and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) over a three-year follow-up period.

Participants underwent evaluations of autonomic function encompassing cardiovascular autonomic reflex tests (CARTs), baroreflex sensitivity (BRS), heart rate variability (HRV) in time domains (standard deviation of all normal RR intervals (SDNN)) and frequency domains (high frequency/low frequency ratio), and electrochemical skin conductance (ESC). The diagnosis of CAN relied on abnormal CART results. Subjects were categorized into 4 groups, based on their assessment of cardiac autonomic function at 3-year follow-up, relative to the presence or absence of CAN at baseline assessment: Persistent absence of CAN; Resolution of CAN; Progression to CAN; and Persistent CAN.

Participants with T2DM/prediabetes (n = 91/7) were categorized as: Persistent absence of CAN (n = 25), Resolution of CAN (n = 10), Progression to CAN (n = 18), and Persistent CAN (n = 45) groups. The Persistent absence of CAN group showed significant associations with SDNN. The Resolution of CAN group exhibited notable associations with mean HbA1C (follow-up), while the Progression to CAN group displayed a significant link with baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate. The Persistent CAN group demonstrated significant associations with SDNN and Sudoscan CAN risk score. Screening recommendations involve biennial to annual assessments based on risk levels, aiding in CAN detection and subsequent comprehensive and time-intensive autonomic function tests for confirmation. The study's findings offer improved risk categorization approaches for detecting CAN, which has relevance for shaping public health strategies.