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Associations of COVID-19 symptoms with omicron subvariants BA.2 and BA.5, host status, and clinical outcomes in Japan: a registry-based observational study - 26/10/23

Doi : 10.1016/S1473-3099(23)00271-2 
Sho Nakakubo, MD a, , , Naoki Kishida, PhD d, , Kenichi Okuda, MD e, , Keisuke Kamada, MD a, f, g, Masami Iwama h, Masaru Suzuki, MD a, Isao Yokota, PhD b, Yoichi M Ito, ProfPhD i, Yasuyuki Nasuhara, ProfMD j, Richard C Boucher, ProfMD e, Satoshi Konno, ProfMD a, c
a Department of Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan 
b Department of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan 
c Institute for Vaccine Research and Development, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan 
d Emergency Management Bureau, City of Sapporo, Sapporo, Japan 
e Marsico Lung Institute/Cystic Fibrosis Research Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA 
f Department of Mycobacterium Reference and Research, The Research Institute of Tuberculosis, Japan Anti-Tuberculosis Association, Tokyo, Japan 
g Department of Epidemiology and Clinical Research, The Research Institute of Tuberculosis, Japan Anti-Tuberculosis Association, Tokyo, Japan 
h Management Section, Medical Management Office, Health and Welfare Bureau, City of Sapporo, Sapporo, Japan 
i Data Science Center, Promotion Unit, Institute of Health Science Innovation for Medical Care, Hokkaido University Hospital, Sapporo, Japan 
j Division of Hospital Safety Management, Hokkaido University Hospital, Sapporo, Japan 

*Correspondence to: Dr Sho Nakakubo, Department of Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo 060-8638, JapanDepartment of Respiratory MedicineFaculty of MedicineHokkaido UniversitySapporo060-8638Japan

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Summary

Background

Previous SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccination, coupled with the rapid evolution of SARS-CoV-2 variants, have modified COVID-19 clinical manifestations. We aimed to characterise the clinical symptoms of COVID-19 individuals in omicron BA.2 and BA.5 Japanese pandemic periods to identify omicron and subvariant associations between symptoms, immune status, and clinical outcomes.

Methods

In this registry-based observational study, individuals registered in Sapporo’s web-based COVID-19 information system entered 12 pre-selected symptoms, days since symptom onset, vaccination history, SARS-CoV-2 infection history, and background. Eligibility criteria included symptomatic individuals who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 (PCR or antigen test), and individuals who were not tested for SARS-CoV-2 but developed new symptoms after a household member tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. Symptom prevalence, variables associated with symptoms, and symptoms associated with progression to severe disease were analysed.

Findings

Data were collected and analysed between April 25 and Sept 25, 2022. For 157 861 omicron-infected symptomatic individuals, cough was the most common symptom (99 032 [62·7%] patients), followed by sore throat (95 838 [60·7%] patients), nasal discharge (69 968 [44·3%] patients), and fever (61 218 [38·8%] patients). Omicron BA.5 infection was associated with a higher prevalence of systemic symptoms than BA.2 in vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals (adjusted odds ratio [OR] for fever: 2·18 [95% CI 2·12–2·25]). Omicron breakthrough-infected individuals with three or more vaccinations or previous infection were less likely to exhibit systemic symptoms (fever 0·50 [0·49–0·51]), but more likely to exhibit upper respiratory symptoms (sore throat 1·33 [1·29–1·36]; nasal discharge 1·84 [1·80–1·89]). Infected older individuals (≥65 years) had lower odds for all symptoms. However, when symptoms were manifest, systemic symptoms were associated with increased odds for severe disease (dyspnoea 3·01 [1·84–4·91]; fever 2·93 [1·89–4·52]), whereas upper respiratory symptoms were associated with decreased odds (sore throat 0·38 [0·24–0·63]; nasal discharge 0·48 [0·28–0·81]).

Interpretation

Host immunological status, omicron subvariant, and age were associated with a spectrum of COVID-19 symptoms and outcomes. BA.5 produced a higher systemic symptom prevalence than BA.2. Vaccination and previous infection reduced systemic symptom prevalence and improved outcomes but increased upper respiratory tract symptom prevalence. Systemic, but not upper respiratory, symptoms in older people heralded severe disease. Our findings could serve as a practical guide to use COVID-19 symptoms to appropriately modify health-care strategies and predict clinical outcomes for older patients with omicron infections.

Funding

Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development.

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Vol 23 - N° 11

P. 1244-1256 - novembre 2023 Retour au numéro
Article précédent Article précédent
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