Recent studies suggest that the incidence of perinatal hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) may be increasing in developed countries. However, this observed increase may be due to increased ascertainment and increased treatment with therapeutic hypothermia rather than an increase in disease burden. In a US population-based cross-sectional study, we determined the incidence of perinatal HIE over time.

The study population included all 289,793 live-born infants ≥35 weeks gestational age born at 15 Kaiser Permanente Northern California hospitals between 2012 and 2019. Perinatal HIE was defined as the presence of both neonatal acidosis (i.e., cord blood pH < 7 or base deficit ≥10, or base deficit ≥10 on first infant gas) and neonatal encephalopathy confirmed by medical record review. Hospital discharge diagnoses of HIE were determined by extracting International Classification of Disease diagnostic codes for HIE assigned upon hospital discharge.

The population incidence of perinatal HIE was 1.7 per 1000. Although the incidence of perinatal HIE did not change significantly, both hospital discharge diagnoses of HIE and treatment with therapeutic hypothermia increased significantly during the study period. The sensitivity and positive predictive value of a hospital discharge diagnosis of HIE for identifying perinatal HIE confirmed by chart review were 72% and 79%, respectively.

During the study years, the incidence of perinatal HIE remained stable despite increases in hospital discharge diagnoses of HIE and in the use of therapeutic hypothermia. Our findings underscore the importance of applying stringent diagnostic criteria when diagnosing this complex condition.