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Predictive Validity of the Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers (M-CHAT) Born Very Preterm - 25/10/16

Doi : 10.1016/j.jpeds.2016.07.052 
So Hyun Kim, PhD 1, * , Robert M. Joseph, PhD 2, Jean A. Frazier, MD 3, Thomas M. O'Shea, MD, MPH 4, Katarzyna Chawarska, PhD 5, Elizabeth N. Allred, MS 6, 7, Alan Leviton, MD 6, 7, Karl K. Kuban, MD, SMEpi 8
on behalf of the

Extremely Low Gestational Age Newborn (ELGAN) Study Investigators*

  List of additional ELGAN Study Investigators is available at www.jpeds.com (Appendix).

1 Department of Psychiatry, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, NY 
2 Department of Anatomy and Neurobiology, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA 
3 Department of Psychiatry and Pediatrics, University of Massachusetts Memorial Health Care and University of Massachusetts Medical School, Boston, MA 
4 Department of Pediatrics, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC 
5 Yale Child Study Center, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT 
6 Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA 
7 Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 
8 Department of Pediatrics, Boston Medical Center, Boston, MA 

*Reprint requests: Department of Psychiatry, Weill Cornell Medical College, 21 Bloomingdale Rd, White Plains, NY 10605.Department of PsychiatryWeill Cornell Medical College21 Bloomingdale RdWhite PlainsNY10605

Abstract

Objective

To examine the predictive validity of the Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers (M-CHAT) administered at age 24 months for autism spectrum disorder (ASD) diagnosed at 10 years of age in a US cohort of 827 extremely low gestational age newborns (ELGANs) followed from birth.

Study design

We examined the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of the M-CHAT in predicting an ASD diagnosis at age 10 years based on gold standard diagnostic instruments. We then assessed how these predictive parameters were affected by sensorimotor and cognitive impairments, socioeconomic status (SES), and emotional/behavioral dysregulation at age 2 years.

Results

Using standard criteria, the M-CHAT had a sensitivity of 52%, a specificity of 84%, a PPV of 20%, and an NPV of 96%. False-positive and false-negative rates were high among children with hearing and vision impairments. High false-positive rates also were associated with lower SES, motor and cognitive impairments, and emotional/behavioral dysregulation at age 2 years.

Conclusions

Among extremely preterm children with ASD, almost one-half were not correctly screened by the M-CHAT at age 2 years. Sensorimotor and cognitive impairments, SES, and emotional/behavioral dysregulation contributed significantly to M-CHAT misclassifications. Clinicians are advised to consider these factors when screening very preterm toddlers for ASD.

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Keywords : Autism, M-CHAT, Screening, Preterm children

Abbreviations : ADOS, ADI-R, ASD, BSID-II, CBCL 1.5-5, ELGAN, GMFCS, ID, M-CHAT, MDI, NPV, PDI, PPV, SES, SCQ


Mappa


 Supported by the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (5U01NS040069-05 and 2R01NS040069-06A2) and the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (5P30HD018655-28). J.F. received research support from Alcobra, Janssen Research and Development, SyneuRX, and Neuren; and has served on a data safety monitoring board for a Forest Pharmaceuticals clinical trial (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01878292). No funds from these entities supported this project, and none of these entities reviewed or commented on this study. The other authors declare no conflicts of interest.


© 2016  Elsevier Inc. Tutti i diritti riservati.
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Vol 178

P. 101 - novembre 2016 Ritorno al numero
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