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Long-term survival comparison between the first and second waves among 265 critical COVID-19 patients admitted to the ICU: A retrospective cohort study - 01/11/23

Doi : 10.1016/j.resmer.2023.101057 
Nour-El-Imane Taghboulit a, Claire Andrejak a, b, c, Yazine Mahjoub d, Bénédicte Toublanc a, Isabelle Mayeux a, Julia Delomez a, Marie Mercier a, Pauline Leriche a, Julien Maizel e, Hervé Dupont d, Vincent Jounieaux a, b, Damien Basille a, b, c,
a Department of Respiratory Disease and Critical Care Unit, University Hospital Centre Amiens-Picardie, Amiens, France 1, Rue du Professeur Christian Cabrol 80054 Amiens-Cedex, France 
b AGIR Unit – UR4294, University Picardie Jules Verne, 1, rue des Louvels, 80037 Amiens Cedex 1, France 
c RECIF Unit, University Picardie Jules Verne, 1, rue des Louvels, 80037 Amiens Cedex 1, France 
d Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, University Hospital Centre Amiens-Picardie, Amiens, France 1, Rue du Professeur Christian Cabrol 80054 Amiens-Cedex, France 
e Intensive Care Department, University Hospital Centre Amiens-Picardie, Amiens, France 1, Rue du Professeur Christian Cabrol 80054 Amiens-Cedex, France 

Corresponding author at: Department of Respiratory Disease and Critical Care Unit, University Hospital Amiens-Picardie, 1, Rue du Professeur Christian Cabrol, 80054 Amiens-Cedex, France.Department of Respiratory Disease and Critical Care UnitUniversity Hospital Amiens-Picardie1, Rue du Professeur Christian Cabrol, 80054 Amiens-CedexFrance

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Abstract

Backgroud

Management of severe COVID-19 patients admitted to ICU considerably evolved during the first months of the pandemic. It is unclear, however, whether these changes improved long-term survival of these critically ill patients.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study in adults with COVID-19 pneumonia admitted to a French ICU between February 2020 and January 2021, a timeframe that covered the first two waves of the pandemic. Primary outcome was to compare long-term survival between the first and second waves. Survival predictor were identified using a Cox proportional-hazards model.

Results

We included 265 patients in the cohort: 140 (52.8 %) and 125 (47.2 %) belonging to the first and second waves, respectively. Baseline characteristics of the patients were similar between the two waves. During W2, use of early corticotherapy increased (86.4% vs. 17.8 %; p <0.001), as well as high-flow oxygen therapy use (68.5% vs. 37.4 %; p<0.001). Need for invasive mechanical ventilation decreased (49.6% vs. 72.9 %; p <0.001) and ICU length of stay was shorter (11 [6–22] vs 19 [8–32]days; p = 0.008). ICU mortality was 32.8 % without significant difference between waves. Survival analysis revealed that 3 variables were independently associated with a worse long-term prognosis: a higher SAPS II score (1.05 [1.04–1.06]; p<0.001), a higher age (1.05 [1.01–1.08]; p = 0.005) and admission during W2 (2.22 [1.15–4.28]; p = 0.017).

Discussion

Despite substantial changes on management of severe COVID-19 patients, we observed a decreased long-term survival among patients admitted during the second wave. We also noted a shorter ICU length of stay.

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Keywords : Acute respiratory distress syndrome, Covid-19, intensive care unit, Survival analyses, Glucocorticoids, High-flow nasal oxygen therapy

Abbreviations : ARDS, BMI, COPD, ECMO, FiO2, HFO, ICU, IMV, NIV, OSA, PaO2, SAPS II, SARS-CoV-2, W1, W2


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