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Predicting inadequate bowel preparation for colonoscopy in participants receiving split-dose bowel preparation: development and validation of a prediction score - 23/02/15

Doi : 10.1016/j.gie.2014.09.066 
Vincent K. Dik, MD 1, , Leon M.G. Moons, MD, PhD 1, Melek Hüyük, BSc 1, Peter van der Schaar, MD, PhD 2, Wouter H. de Vos tot Nederveen Cappel, MD, PhD 3, Pieter C.J. ter Borg, MD, PhD 4, Maarten A.C. Meijssen, MD, PhD 3, Rob J.T.H. Ouwendijk, MD, PhD 4, Doris M. Le Fèvre 5, Merijn Stouten 6, Onno van der Galiën 5, Theo J. Hiemstra 5, Jan F. Monkelbaan, MD 1, Martijn G.H. van Oijen, PhD 1, Peter D. Siersema, MD, PhD 1
for the

Colonoscopy Quality Initiative

Leon M.G. Moons, MD, PhD 1, Peter van der Schaar, MD, PhD 2, Wouter H. de Vos tot Nederveen Cappel, MD, PhD 3, Pieter C.J. ter Borg, MD, PhD 4, Thjon J. Tang 7, Frank ter Borg 8, Maarten A.C. Meijssen, MD, PhD 3, Rob J.T.H. Ouwendijk, MD, PhD 4, Doris M. Le Fèvre 5, Merijn Stouten 6, Onno van der Galiën 5, Theo J. Hiemstra 5, Ernst J. Kuipers, MD, PhD 9, Peter D. Siersema, MD, PhD 1
1 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands 
2 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands 
3 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Isala Clinics, Zwolle, The Netherlands 
4 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ikazia Hospital, Rotterdam, The Netherlands 
5 Achmea Health Care, Leiden, The Netherlands 
6 Gupta Strategists, Ophemert, The Netherlands 
7 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, IJsselland Hospital, Capelle aan den IJssel, The Netherlands 
8 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Deventer Hospital, Deventer, The Netherlands 
9 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands 

1 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands 
2 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands 
3 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Isala Clinics, Zwolle, The Netherlands 
4 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ikazia Hospital, Rotterdam, The Netherlands 
5 Achmea Health Care, Leiden, The Netherlands 
6 Gupta Strategists, Ophemert, The Netherlands 

Reprint requests: Vincent K. Dik, MD, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology (F02.618), University Medical Center Utrecht, PO Box 85500, 3508 GA Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Abstract

Background

Adequate bowel preparation is important for optimal colonoscopy. It is important to identify patients at risk for inadequate bowel preparation because this allows taking precautions in this specific group.

Objective

To develop a prediction score to identify patients at risk for inadequate bowel preparation who may benefit from an intensified bowel cleansing regimen.

Design

Patient and colonoscopy data were prospectively collected, whereas clinical data were retrospectively collected for a total of 1996 colonoscopies in participants who received split-dose bowel preparation. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted in a random two-thirds of the cohort to develop a prediction model. Validation and evaluation of the discriminative power of the prediction model were performed within the remaining one-third of the cohort.

Setting

Four centers, including one academic and three medium-to-large size nonacademic centers.

Patients

Consecutive colonoscopies in November and December 2012. Mean age was 57.3 ± 15.9 years, 45.8% were male and indications for colonoscopy were screening and/or surveillance (27%), abdominal symptoms and/or blood loss and/or anemia (60%), inflammatory bowel disease (9%), and others (4%).

Interventions

Colonoscopy.

Main Outcome Measurements

Inadequate bowel preparation defined as Boston Bowel Preparation Scale score <6.

Results

A total of 1331 colonoscopies were included in the development cohort, of which 172 (12.9%) had an inadequate bowel preparation. Independent factors included in the prediction model were American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status Classification System score ≥3, use of tricyclic antidepressants, use of opioids, diabetes, chronic constipation, history of abdominal and/or pelvic surgery, history of inadequate bowel preparation, and current hospitalization. The discriminative ability of the scale was good, with an area under the curve of 0.77 in the validation cohort.

Limitations

Study design partially retrospective, no data on patient compliance.

Conclusion

We developed a validated, easy-to-use prediction scale that can be used to identify subjects with an increased risk of inadequate bowel preparation with good accuracy.

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Abbreviations : ASA, AUC, BBPS, BMI, NPV, PG, PPV


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 DISCLOSURE: All authors disclosed no financial relationships relevant to this article.
 If you would like to chat with an author of this article, you may contact Dr Dik at v.k.dik@umcutrecht.nl.


© 2015  American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy. Pubblicato da Elsevier Masson SAS. Tutti i diritti riservati.
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